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“Pathways to Policy Deviance - Economic Policy Preferences, Social Class, and Voting Behavior”

Dean Gary Segura, UCLA
Apr 10, 2019 from 12:00 PM to 01:00 PM (America/Los_Angeles / UTC-700)
1130 K Street, Room LL3
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Scholars have long noted the surprising tendency of some working class voters to support conservative parties, apparently in opposition to their own interests.  Less often noted, but just as surprising, has been the trend of high income voters moving toward supporting candidates and parties favoring progressive economic policies.  Why?  In this talk, which is part of a longer book project, we document the unique paths to policy deviance for lower and upper income voters.  We find that lower income  voters generally hold class-consistent economic policy preferences, but deviate at the voting stage.  By contrast, higher income voters often hold class-inconsistent policy preferences.  Conditional on those deviant preferences, however, they tend to vote in a manner consistent with their preferences.  We offer four hypotheses to explain these unique patterns and begin to test them.

Gary M. Segura is the Dean of the Luskin School of Public Affairs at UCLA. His work focuses on Segura Photoissues of political representation and social cleavages, the domestic politics of wartime public opinion, and the politics of America’s growing Latino minority.  Among his most recent publications are Latino America: How America’s Most Dynamic Population is Poised to Transform the Politics of the Nation with Matt Barreto; "The Future is Ours:" Minority Politics, Political Behavior, and the Multiracial Era of American   Politics with Shaun Bowler, and two books with the Latino National Survey team: Latinos in the New Millennium: An Almanac of Opinion, Behavior, and Policy Preferences, and Latino Lives in America: Making It Home. Earlier work has been published in the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, Political Research Quarterly, and the Annual Review of Political Science, among many others.  Over the last 18 years, he has directed polling research that has completed over 100,000 interviews of Americans of all backgrounds on matters of political importance.  He has briefed members of both the House and Senate as well as senior administration officials and appeared on National Public Radio, the News Hour, Frontline, the CBS Evening News, MSNBC, and numerous other outlets.  Segura served as an expert witness on the nature of political power in all three of landmark LGBT marriage rights cases in 2013 and 2015 which recognized marriage equality as a constitutionally protected right.  He has provided expert testimony on discrimination in both voting rights cases and LGBT civil rights cases, and filed amicus curiae briefs on subjects as diverse as marriage equality and affirmative action. Segura was one of the Principal Investigators of both the 2012 and 2016 American National Election Studies, and was one of the Principal Investigators of the Latino National Survey, in 2006.  He is a past president of the Midwest Political Science Association and the Western Political Science Association, and a past  executive council member of the American Political Science Association.  He is a past president of El Sector Latino de la Ciencia Política (Latino Caucus in Political Science).  In 2010, he was elected a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.



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